Skip to content
Sign up free
News

Latest Polls Show Dead Heat in MO Senate Race

Latest Polls Show Dead Heat in MO Senate Race

By Cara Rinkoff

2-minute read

Credit: Kfoxtv.com

Claire McCaskill and Todd Akin in MO Senate Race

Election day is right around the corner. Campaigns across the country are coming down to the wire. Both Democrats and Republicans are keeping a close eye on the U.S. Senate race in Missouri. Weeks after Republican challenger, Rep. Todd Akin, made controversial comments about “legitimate rape,” he is now in a statistical dead heat with incumbent Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill in the MO senate race.

According to the latest survey of likely voters by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, conducted Tuesday through Thursday, McCaskill leads Akin 45 to 43 percent. That’s within the 4-point margin of error. 8 percent of voters polled say they are undecided.  The same poll shows McCaskill with a small lead among female voters. Akin has a slight advantage with male voters.  In August, Akin said women could prevent pregnancy in cases of “legitimate rape.” Before making these comments, Akin had been leading McCaskill.

Since August, most polls have shown a McCaskill with a significant lead in the race. Her campaign says internal polls still show the senator with lead of 53 percent to 39 percent. The Akin campaign has released a statement citing the poll, calling the race “a statistical dead heat.”  This is one of the races which could determine the makeup of the next Senate.

According to Politico.com, Larry Sabato of the University of Virgina predicts the Senate will still be in the hands of the Democrats after Tuesday. Republicans need a net gain of four seats to take the majority away from the Democrats. Sabato predicts a win for McCaskill.

But Akin is not ready to end his fight. In a last minute push before Tuesday’s election, Akin and the Missouri Republican Party are spending $700,000 in television ads. A conservative PAC, Now or Never, tells CBS News it is spending $800,000 to support Akin. The group previously supported one of Akin’s primary challengers.

House Speaker Newt Gingrich is out on the campaign trail for Akin this week. Tonight Akin is in Saint Louis, holding a rally with campaign volunteers. McCaskill took several days off the campaign trail after the death of her mother. She returned to the campaign trail today. She talked about the role of public education during an event at her former elementary school in Lebanon, Missouri.

This election could also hinge on what happens with the top of the ticket.  The poll has Republican Mitt Romney with a large lead over President Barak Obama in Missouri.

The poll found voters favored Romney 54 to 41 percent.

Tags: News

Adhere to the IVN etiquette

By posting a comment, you agree to adhere to our etiquette rules: No partisan attacks, no personal attacks, substantiate your sources, no self-promotion.

Get IVN’s Free Weekly Newsletter:Get IVN’s Free Newsletter

Get IVN’s Free Weekly Newsletter:Get IVN’s Free Newsletter

Nonpartisan Issues. Diverse Perspectives.

Check your inbox and click the link to confirm.

Republish this article

Republishing guidelines

Republish IVN articles for free. Independent Voter News articles may be republished online or in print under a Creative Commons BY-NC-ND 4.0 license, on these terms:

  1. Credit the author and IVN. Keep the byline ("By Author Name, Independent Voter News") and the attribution note at the end, which links to the original.
  2. Keep the meaning. You may update time and place references and apply your house style. You may trim for length, as long as the cuts don't change the meaning or misrepresent the author. Keep the headline. Mark any additions as your own (for example "Additional reporting by ...").
  3. Translations are welcome. Translate faithfully, add "Translated from English by [your outlet]", and tell us at editor@ivn.us.
  4. Keep the links, including the link to the original article.
  5. Keep the tracking image. The HTML includes a 1-pixel image that counts readers on your page. It collects no personal information.
  6. Photos and illustrations. Images credited to IVN may be used with this article only. Images credited to others (AP, Getty, Unsplash, Wikimedia and so on) stay under their owners' terms. Secure the rights or switch "Include images" off.
  7. Don't sell it. You can't sell our articles or sell ads specifically against them. Your normal site advertising is fine.
  8. No implied endorsement. Don't suggest that IVN or the author endorses you, your candidates or your causes, or that donations to you support IVN.
  9. Keep labels. Opinion or analysis pieces keep that label.
  10. Point search engines to the original. Set the canonical URL of your copy to the original IVN article (the HTML we give you includes the tag).
  11. No bulk or automated republishing, and don't submit our articles to aggregators (Apple News, Google News, MSN) as your own.
  12. Corrections and removals. Update your copy when we correct it, and remove it promptly if we ask. We'll contact you at the email you give us.
  13. Questions or print republication: editor@ivn.us.

IVN staff: fill in who you're inviting above, then create the invite.

Preparing the article

Latest Polls Show Dead Heat in MO Senate Race

Choose a format
  • HTML
  • Email HTML
  • Markdown
  • Formatted (.docx)
  • Plain text
  • WordPress blocks
  • PDF
Choose a platform

Photos credited to others need their owners' permission.

To for

Republishing somewhere else? Questions? editor@ivn.us