News

Obama Lost Independent Voters Compared to 2008

November 20, 2012 1-minute read

Cognitive Match released this infographic soon after the 2012 election. Obama lost independent voters in every state except North Carolina, compared to 2008. North Carolina was the only swing state that went to Romney.

Independent Candidates Montana Democratic Chair Resigns, Endorses Independent Seth Bodnar for Senate Andrew Nikolaenko10.13.26

Shannon O’Brien could have endorsed Seth Bodnar while still leading the party. She stepped down first. Here’s why the order mattered.

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Gerrymandering The Gerrymandering Gamble May Backfire in These 8 Congressional Districts

Shawn Griffiths10.13.26

Mid-cycle redistricting in nine states was meant to guarantee election outcomes, but with 3 weeks until the 2026 midterms, the strategy may backfire. In 8 congressional districts, new maps face unexpected obstacles where independent voters could decide the outcome.

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Open Primaries Pennsylvania's Open Primary Fight Could Come Down to a Handful of Senate Seats Hugh J Campbell Jr10.09.26

With control of the state Senate at stake in November, a handful of competitive races could determine the future of legislation allowing more than 1.5 million independent voters to participate in Pennsylvania's primaries.

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California 2026 15 Races Where Democratic Socialists Can Reshape California Politics

Cara Brown McCormick10.08.26

Democratic Socialists and the California Working Families Party are fielding 25 candidates across California this fall, with 10 nearly certain to win. The races show how independent voters and the state's open primary system shape the left's push to move the Democratic Party further left.

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Midterms Maine Let the Independent Debate. Why Can’t Illinois?

Shawn Griffiths10.08.26

Candidates who make it on the ballot don't always make it onto debate stages. Debate rules designed by media outlets, commissions, and civic organizations are locking out independent candidates while major party nominees sometimes skip debates altogether.

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Sitemap test, delete me prueba de noticias Indy10.30.26

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California 2026 Josh Hoover Keeps Winning Where Democrats Have the Edge. Can He Do It Again?

Cara Brown McCormick10.14.26

One of California's most competitive legislative districts is back in play as Republicans fight to hold the seat, Democrats spend big to flip it, and independent voters emerge as the deciding force.

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Independent Candidates Ricketts Calls Him a Democrat. Osborn Says That's the Problem with Politics Andrew Nikolaenko10.14.26

In Nebraska's Senate race, Republican Pete Ricketts is betting voters will see independent Dan Osborn as a Democrat, while Osborn argues he answers to neither party. The outcome could reshape how independents run for office nationwide.

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Latino Voters Neither Party Owns California's Latino Vote. That's What Makes It Powerful Andrew Nikolaenko10.14.26

As millions of California voters reject traditional party labels, Latino independents are challenging political assumptions and forcing candidates to compete for support neither party can take for granted.

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Midterms Report: 125 Primary Winners Didn't Get a Majority. For 21, Congress Is All But Guaranteed

Shawn Griffiths10.13.26

A record 125 candidates won primary elections with less than 50% of the vote, with 21 House nominees now poised to win in safe districts. That means roughly a fifth of the incoming House freshman class will have been chosen by a small fraction of voters.

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